Jonathan's 2027 candidacy prospects unclear amid northern resistance
Former President Goodluck Jonathan's potential 2027 presidential candidacy faces significant hurdles after analysts concluded he's not viable for Northern political blocs. PDP's Tanimu Turaki-led committee declared him sole presidential candidate, but Jonathan's adviser dismisses claims, stating no forms purchased or candidacy accepted.
Political analyst Kabiru Ojo argues Northern elites would resist Jonathan's return due to fears of political retaliation from 2015 election, while ordinary Northerners may prefer him over current administration despite past insecurity challenges. The situation changes if a Northern candidate emerges, as average Northerners would likely support regional candidate over Jonathan.
A second analyst, Aminu Rabiu, suggests Jonathan has been vindicated by performance of Buhari and Tinubu administrations, with improved post-presidency image through international peace efforts. However, he notes Jonathan served six years total and may be constitutionally ineligible.
Federal High Court will rule on eligibility May 26 regarding whether Jonathan's succession in 2010 and 2011 victory constitute two terms. Legal uncertainty and regional power dynamics make Jonathan's actual candidacy prospects unclear despite continued national attention.